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Pandemic influenza phases

The influenza virus is a common virus that has been in existence for a long time. Each flu season, influenza causes many admissions to hospital and deaths, particularly in the very young and the old.

An influenza pandemic occurs when:

  • a new sub-type of the flu virus emerges in humans to which people have no or little immunity; and
  • the virus spreads easily and rapidly between humans (infectiousness)

The combination of low immunity in the population and high infectiousness means that many people will be infected. This means that there will be a correspondingly high number of hospital admissions and deaths.

Phases

The World Health Organisation has 6 global phases to describe the status of a pandemic worldwide. Australia has 7 phases to guide the Australian response to the pandemic as it develops.

It is important to note that the pandemic might not develop in a predictable way. It might move through phases quickly or skip some phases altogether. 

Pandemic influenza - Australian phases
Australian Phase Description Key Government Objective
Alert A new flu virus with pandemic potential causes severe disease in humans who have had contact with infected animals.  There is no effective transmission between humans. The new virus has not arrived in Australia. To be alert to the pandemic risk and prepare for a pandemic
Delay Small clusters of human infection with the virus overseas. Virus is becoming increasingly better adapted to humans, but may not yet be fully adapted (substantial pandemic risk). Delay the virus arriving in Australia
Contain
Pandemic virus has arrived in Australia causing a small number of cases. Limit the spread of the virus
Protect
A new disease of moderate severity (mild in most but severe in some) is spreading in Australia. To identify the people in whom disease may be severe and provide medical care and interventions to reduce suffering 
Sustain Pandemic virus is established in Australia and is spreading in the community.  Sustain the response while waiting for a pandemic vaccine to be developed
Control Customised pandemic vaccine is widely available. Control the pandemic with a vaccine
Recover Pandemic is controlled in Australia but further waves may occur. Return to normal while remaining vigilant

More information about Queensland Government strategies to respond to the pandemic threat at each phase is available in the Queensland Pandemic Influenza Plan 2009.

What should I do?

There are steps you can take now to protect yourself and your family from catching any type of flu. 

What should my business do?

The Queensland Government encourages all businesses and non-government organisations to be prepared for a pandemic.

Planning ahead could minimise the impact of a pandemic on the organisation, help protect staff and contribute to national recovery.

Last updated 14 August 2009